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Edmonton @ Chicago (Game #6) [message #700400] |
Thu, 19 October 2017 03:00  |
 OilFans
Messages: 3653
Registered: February 2006
Location: Edmonton
3 Cups
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 2
 1 Final (OT)Score Prediction
Login To Make Your Prediction2017-18 Regular Season| Thursday, October 19, 2017 | Edmonton 2 @ Chicago 1 (OT) | Win | | Friday, December 29, 2017 | Chicago 4 @ Edmonton 3 (OT) | Loss | | Sunday, January 7, 2018 | Edmonton 1 @ Chicago 4 | Loss |
Home Record: 0-0-1 Road Record: 1-1-0 Overall Record: 1-1-1
Home / Road Goals For: 3/3 Total: 6
Home / Road Goals Against: 4/5 Total: 92016-17 Regular Season| Monday, November 21, 2016 | Chicago 0 @ Edmonton 5 | Win | | Saturday, February 11, 2017 | Chicago 5 @ Edmonton 1 | Loss | | Saturday, February 18, 2017 | Edmonton 3 @ Chicago 1 | Win |
Home Record: 1-1-0 Road Record: 1-0-0 Overall Record: 2-1-0
Home / Road Goals For: 6/3 Total: 9
Home / Road Goals Against: 5/1 Total: 6 |
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vsove
Messages: 1057
Registered: May 2006
Location: Edmonton
1 Cup
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Let's keep this fail train rolling! Choo choo!
No Mo' Lowe | Fire McLellan | Fire everyone.
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Oscargasm
Messages: 8517
Registered: May 2009
Location: YEG
6 Cups
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Predicting a 10-1 drubbing tonight... not in our favour. Prove me wrong? #OilersBetter
Survivor CHAMP S52 | S66
OG's #MUSTWIN Scale
Category 1 - Lightly Musty
Category 2 - Moderately Musty
Category 3 - Considerably Musty
Category 4 - Severely Musty
Category 5 - Incredibly Musty
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 15302
Registered: December 2003
Location: AB Highway 100
6 Cups
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73% percent of Oilfans picked the Oilers to lose. The summer of hope has been lost.
East of the Rockies and west of the rest.
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Skookum Jim
Messages: 8470
Registered: March 2006
Location: Burnaby, BC
6 Cups
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This will not be pretty.
Start drinking early, drink often
McDAVID! Oh YEAH Baby!!
Tic-Tac-Tao!
Keep on Rockin' in the Free World
P. Chiarelli math.. T. Hall = A. Larsson, Yak= bag o'pucks (OK he got one right...) K. Russell = $4.1 M+NMC, G. Reinhart= M. Barzal + A. Beauvillier, J. Eberle = R. Spooner,
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Goose
Messages: 2883
Registered: October 2006
Location: Vancouver
2 Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 07:43 |
73% percent of Oilfans picked the Oilers to lose.
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So pretty much a guarantee the Oilers will win then?
Oilers Goal Differential
17/18: 234 GF / 263 GA (-29)
18/19: 232 GF / 274 GA (-42)
19/20 (82 game pace): 257 GF / 254 GA (+3) in 64 games
2021 (82 game pace):269 GF / 235 GA (+34) after 38 games
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Steve
Messages: 448
Registered: October 2006
Location: Ottawa
No Cups
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Is Chicago really that good? I don't think so. I see this as a very winnable game.
"Sometimes I think the surest sign that intelligent life exists elsewhere in the universe is that none of it has tried to contact us."
- Calvin
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WhoreableGuy
Messages: 1880
Registered: August 2006
Location: Calgary
1 Cup
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Yeah, yeah, still 74 games to go but...
MUST WIN.
"Bah Gawd! Would somebody stop the damn draft!"
- Jim Ross calling the NHL Draft Lotto 2015 as the Oilers win
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 15302
Registered: December 2003
Location: AB Highway 100
6 Cups
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| Steve wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 10:44 |
Is Chicago really that good? I don't think so. I see this as a very winnable game.
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Stauffer says Chicago is starting their back up tonight.
East of the Rockies and west of the rest.
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Kr55
Messages: 21691
Registered: May 2002
Location: Edmonton
6 Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:34 |
| Steve wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 10:44 |
Is Chicago really that good? I don't think so. I see this as a very winnable game.
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Stauffer says Chicago is starting their back up tonight.
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Anton Forsberg. 24 years old. 11 games NHL experience. Career .883 sav%. Would be really nice to win a goalie battle again.
"The Edmonton Oilers are not where they should be right now and that is unacceptable. We need to get better immediately. That starts today"
-Kevin Lowe, April 2013
"Next year (15/16) I would forecast as another developmental year"
- #2, April 2015
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 15302
Registered: December 2003
Location: AB Highway 100
6 Cups
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| Kr55 wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:39 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:34 |
| Steve wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 10:44 |
Is Chicago really that good? I don't think so. I see this as a very winnable game.
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Stauffer says Chicago is starting their back up tonight.
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Anton Forsberg. 24 years old. 11 games NHL experience. Career .883 sav%. Would be really nice to win a goalie battle again.
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That's got shut out written all over it.
East of the Rockies and west of the rest.
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vsove
Messages: 1057
Registered: May 2006
Location: Edmonton
1 Cup
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 13:00 |
| Kr55 wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:39 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:34 |
| Steve wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 10:44 |
Is Chicago really that good? I don't think so. I see this as a very winnable game.
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Stauffer says Chicago is starting their back up tonight.
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Anton Forsberg. 24 years old. 11 games NHL experience. Career .883 sav%. Would be really nice to win a goalie battle again.
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That's got shut out written all over it.
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Feel good story of a young goalie as the Oilers continue their slide.
No Mo' Lowe | Fire McLellan | Fire everyone.
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Adam
Messages: 17839
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 13:00 |
| Kr55 wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:39 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:34 |
| Steve wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 10:44 |
Is Chicago really that good? I don't think so. I see this as a very winnable game.
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Stauffer says Chicago is starting their back up tonight.
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Anton Forsberg. 24 years old. 11 games NHL experience. Career .883 sav%. Would be really nice to win a goalie battle again.
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That's got shut out written all over it.
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I've heard the Anton Forsberg is projected to be the next Garrett Sparks.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireLowe #FireChiarelli #FireBobbyNicks #FireKeithGretzky #FireKenHolland #FireTippett
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 15302
Registered: December 2003
Location: AB Highway 100
6 Cups
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| Adam wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 13:44 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 13:00 |
| Kr55 wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:39 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 12:34 |
| Steve wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 10:44 |
Is Chicago really that good? I don't think so. I see this as a very winnable game.
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Stauffer says Chicago is starting their back up tonight.
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Anton Forsberg. 24 years old. 11 games NHL experience. Career .883 sav%. Would be really nice to win a goalie battle again.
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That's got shut out written all over it.
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I've heard the Anton Forsberg is projected to be the next Garrett Sparks.
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Ah memories. I haven't thought of that name in years. I think. When was that debacle? 2015. Good times.
https://www.nhl.com/news/garret-sparks-earns-shutout-in-nhl- debut-maple-leafs-blank-oilers-3-0/c-790229
East of the Rockies and west of the rest.
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Jones25
Messages: 22
Registered: September 2017
Location: Boston, MA
No Cups
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| OilMJMOil wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 10:29 |
Predicting a 10-1 drubbing tonight... not in our favour. Prove me wrong? #OilersBetter
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I predict they win tonight! Chicago is going to be too cocky, and the Oilers are coming off some nasty losses, they'll be ready for blood tonight!
Tryin' to be positive.
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WhoreableGuy
Messages: 1880
Registered: August 2006
Location: Calgary
1 Cup
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I wish I trusted analytics a bit more :
http://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/three-early-season-nhl-tr ends-unlikely-continue/
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Oilers fans are understandably frustrated right now, with Edmonton struggling to score and win, and now Leon Draisaitl’s status is concerning, with vision problems and concussion symptoms. However, it looks like Draisaitl won’t be out for too long, and the Oilers’ play without him has been incredibly strong.
Yes, the goals haven’t been in their favour, everything seems to be going wrong at once, but the Oilers are first in the NHL in Corsica’s expected goals model and Sportlogiq’s scoring chance data likes them just as much.
Compared to recent years, the Oilers have done an incredible job defensively, allowing the fewest high-danger chances against in the league so far. The goaltending has been porous so that probably sounds like a lie, but the Oilers have improved big time.
This is a team that has been stung badly by poor luck, but every indication we have says they’re bound to be not just good, but excellent. This is without a top defenceman in Andrej Sekera, and with Draisaitl missing a couple games as well. There’s too much good stuff going on in Edmonton to get bogged down in their record after just five games.
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I'll still file this into my "Fake News" pile.
"Bah Gawd! Would somebody stop the damn draft!"
- Jim Ross calling the NHL Draft Lotto 2015 as the Oilers win
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Babaganoosh
Messages: 1128
Registered: January 2009
Location: Medicine Hat,AB
1 Cup
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So sick of people using luck as an excuse. Good teams make their own luck by pushing the play and keeping the puck in the other end where luck can't hurt you. This is a team with no wingers , less defense and the Goalies can't out play the suck. I said in August this team wouldn't make the playoffs and I see little to encourage that I'm wrong.
" If you have anything good to say, say it off!"
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NetBOG
Messages: 4394
Registered: January 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
4 Cups
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The game will be on WGN tonight as well, for anybody who would like a change of broadcasters.
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RDOilerfan
Messages: 7969
Registered: January 2016
6 Cups
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The Oilers even when they were crap usually played the Hawks tough and won their fair share of games. They need Talbot to be Talbot so hopefully he's figured out what is wrong and fixed it. Tonight would be a good night for the captain to puck up his game.
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Goose
Messages: 2883
Registered: October 2006
Location: Vancouver
2 Cups
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| WhoreableGuy wrote on Thu, 19 October 2017 14:07 |
I'll still file this into my "Fake News" pile.
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The problem that I have with the analytics guys that are talking about the Oilers shooting and save percentages inevitably improving (and they will), is that they use things like xGF% and high danger chances as indications that the Oilers will turn it around.
But they don't give any context on those numbers. I don't have access to Sportlogiq's data and can't get Corsica to load on my laptop. But if we use naturalstattrick.com and look at CF% and HDSC% the Oilers are currently first in both categories. The problem is their numbers are not sustainable at those levels.
EDM 17/18 CF% = 59.92%
LA was first in CF% in 16/17% at 54.92% (Oilers were 49.99%)
EDM 17/18 HDSC% = 62.64%
Min led the league in 16/17 with 56.17% (Oilers were 50.43%).
The Oilers numbers this year are basically small sample artifacts. So their shooting and save percentages will get better, but they're also going to have their scoring chance numbers come down as well that will mitigate that at least somewhat.
Oilers Goal Differential
17/18: 234 GF / 263 GA (-29)
18/19: 232 GF / 274 GA (-42)
19/20 (82 game pace): 257 GF / 254 GA (+3) in 64 games
2021 (82 game pace):269 GF / 235 GA (+34) after 38 games
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Jones25
Messages: 22
Registered: September 2017
Location: Boston, MA
No Cups
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Yeah baby!!
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