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Adam Messages: 6919
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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Red Rage wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 09:25 | What is the actual winning percentage for teams on the back half of back to backs?
Anecdotally, I feel as though the Oil do not too badly, but is there any evidence to support the belief that teams overall perform poorly in these situations?
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https://www.reddit.com/r/hockey/comments/2xia7h/quick_statis tics_of_2nd_half_of_back_to_back_games/
https://morehockeystats.com/teams/gamedays
Here's some references. There is definitely statistical evidence that teams playing on the back end of back-to-backs have a reduced chance of winning.
The oddsmakers even build that in to their models, although according to this article, they may over-favour rested teams: https://thehockeynews.com/news/nhl-betting-trend-well-rested -favorites-vs-back-to-back-underdogs
It's worth noting that in the team stats, Tampa has one of the biggest drop-offs, so here's hoping we're able to take advantage. The team really needs all the points it can get right now, so we need to exploit every advantage we can.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
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