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 Re: Pregame: Tampa Bay @ Edmonton (Game #47) [message #816923 is a reply to message #816921 ]
Thu, 19 January 2023 09:35 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Adam is currently online Adam
Messages: 6919
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB

6 Cups

Red Rage wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 09:25

What is the actual winning percentage for teams on the back half of back to backs?

Anecdotally, I feel as though the Oil do not too badly, but is there any evidence to support the belief that teams overall perform poorly in these situations?


https://www.reddit.com/r/hockey/comments/2xia7h/quick_statis tics_of_2nd_half_of_back_to_back_games/

https://morehockeystats.com/teams/gamedays

Here's some references. There is definitely statistical evidence that teams playing on the back end of back-to-backs have a reduced chance of winning.

The oddsmakers even build that in to their models, although according to this article, they may over-favour rested teams: https://thehockeynews.com/news/nhl-betting-trend-well-rested -favorites-vs-back-to-back-underdogs

It's worth noting that in the team stats, Tampa has one of the biggest drop-offs, so here's hoping we're able to take advantage. The team really needs all the points it can get right now, so we need to exploit every advantage we can.



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By: OilFans on Thu, 19 January 2023 02:00
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