 Rutuu
Messages: 109
Registered: March 2011
Location: Brisbane
No Cups
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| Kr55 wrote on Wed, 24 May 2023 17:36 |
Just to try to illustrate the annoyingness of NHL playoff goaltending. Florida is a nice example of a goalie miracle in progress (that of course could die any moment, by Bobo just falling back to earth, or a Marc-Andre Bergeron moment).
Florida Expected GA/60 5v5 regular season: 2.71 (22nd)
Florida xGA/60 all situations reg season: 3.27 (23rd)
Florida xGA/60 5v5 playoffs: 2.78 (12th out of 16)
Florida xGA/60 All situations playoffs: 3.47 (14th)
Hey, it's kinda the same team, that barely made the playoffs. Bobo and Knight 0.901 sav% in all situations, struggled all year. Some guy named Alex Lyon actually helped them get 5 extra wins over .500 out of the 10 they had to put them in, what a great guy.
What's actually happening?
Florida GA/60 5v5 reg season: 2.51 (16th)
Florida GA/60 all-situation reg season: 3.29 (21st)
Florida GA/60 5v5 playoffs: 1.58 (2nd, NYR 1st)
Florida GA/60 all-situation playoffs: 2.36 (2nd, Car 1st)
Florida playoffs sav% 0.928 (1st)
Same team really. Goalie is saving more than 1 GA per game these playoffs, which is obviously massive because they keep winning by 1 goal while being peppered with shots.
And now we're gonna have to hope Bobo keeps it up to stop the stupid Golden Knights. Just to be annoying, he probably won't and we get to see Stone with his back that probably isn't even injured lift the cup.
This doesn't happen every year of course. But, does happen. Florida had a miracle run before with Vanbiesbrouck that fizzled out at the end.
Just to note, Vegas is similar, getting ~1 GA/60 saved above expected these playoffs, from no-names to boot. Their regular season was better than Florida for sure. 10th in xGA all situations (Oilers 14th). Actual GA/60 10th as well, so basically things evened out for them in the regular season. Playoffs, they are riding a similar wave as Florida. They are also scoring 1 GF/60 more than expected, probably partly thanks to Skinner. So, in the playoffs they have got a +2 goal differential better than expected per 60 mins. PDO 1.068. Bleh... Next highest PDO is 1.028. Last year highest was 1.024 (the Oilers lol). Tampa 1.046 year before (Vaseline dominance). 1.034 before that. Next bests, 1.032, 1.025, 1.035, 1.036, 1.019, 1.021, 1.021, 1.038 (Quick 2012), 1.039 (Thomas 2011), 1.027.
Kinda more annoyed now. Vegas just having everything go their way these playoffs, luck scoring, luck with a 3rd-6th string goalie going nuts, plus a hand from the league office. Save us Bobo.
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The path to win was so wide open this year. Frustrating that we stubbed our toe. I really thought it would've been us that turned Cinderella back into her step sisters maid.
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By: Adam on Fri, 19 May 2023 16:14 |
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By: Kr55 on Mon, 22 May 2023 22:11 |
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