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 Re: College Free Agents (2023) [message #819518 is a reply to message #819511 ]
Tue, 14 March 2023 11:43 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Adam is currently offline Adam
Messages: 6855
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
Also - you shouldn't expect 2nd and 3rd round picks to play in the NHL. Many of them won't get any games, and lots will only have a cup of coffee.

Quick brief exercise to look at this

2008
31 2nd rd picks, 15 played over 50 games, 8 played >50 games, 8 never played.
30 3rd round picks, 7 played over 50 games, 5 played under 50, 18 never played.

2009
31 2nd round picks, 17 over 50, 6 under 50, 8 never played
30 3rd round picks, 10 over 50, 6 under 50, 14 never played

2010
30 2nd round picks, 17 over 50, 8 under 50, 5 never played
30 3rd round picks, 8 over 50, 4 under 50, 18 never played.

2011 (great year!)
31 2nd round picks, 20 over 50, 8 under 50, 3 never played
30 3rd round picks, 13 over 50, 9 under 50, 7 never played

2012 (terrible year!)
31 2nd round picks, 13 over 50 games, 3 under 50 games, 15 no games.
30 2nd round picks, 15 over 50 games, 3 under 50 games, 12 never play

So in that five year period, 82 of 154 2nd rounders played at least 50 games, and 43 of 150 3rd rounders did. While it's probably really generous to count the guys with NHL careers under 100 games as NHL players, even if we do, we're talking about a 53% success rate for 2nd round picks, and a 29% success rate for 3rd round picks.

In the same period, 39 second rounders - 25% - never played a single NHL game. For third rounders, 69 of them - 46% never got a sniff.

Something to remember the next time someone's bemoaning the team trading a 3rd round pick for an actual NHL player...

"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireLowe #FireBobbyNicks #FireKenHolland #FireKeithGretzky

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By: Skookum Jim on Wed, 08 March 2023 11:50
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