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 Re: Review: Edmonton @ Dallas (Game #67) [message #756965 is a reply to message #756951 ]
Wed, 04 March 2020 23:52 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Adam  is currently offline Adam
Messages: 6829
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB

6 Cups

Kr55 wrote on Wed, 04 March 2020 16:41


Big question mark is goaltending. Smith can go totally nuts, but at this point in his career? For a whole playoffs? Koskinen has had his share of playoff success, but in the KHL :) Let's just call him a wildcard :P

Weirder things have happened. Guys you don't expect have gone on crazy runs. Unfortunately, the eventual winners usually end up being goalies known to be very good, or some young home grown young talents that have been riding a high all year long and carried it into the playoffs.

The gamble we made this year is certainly not one I would bet big money on. I would have bet more on Talbot, but I guess we will see.


Agreed - goaltending is the big weakness. We likely have to score at a high rate to compensate for average at best goaltending - and that gets harder if our powerplay doesn't get opportunities to play.

It's impossible to overlook just how important special teams have been for the Oilers. Right now, we're the 10th best team in the league on a points basis. We're 12th in Goals For, and 15th in Goals Against, 13th in goal differential. But at 5v5, we're the 18th best scoring team in the league and the 26th best at keeping the puck out of our own net. It's the best special teams in the league that's responsible for putting us where we are in the standings.

And I know we've talked about it ad nauseum over the last couple years, but depth wins playoff series. Other team's depth players badly, badly outplay our third and fourth lines. I think the deadline acquisitions should help with that - they push worse players like Patrick Russell and Colby Cave out of the lineup, but we need a big step up from guys - they can't just hang on and hope that McDavid and Draisaitl blow out the opposition every night.

All that said, we do have an advantage based on the division we play in. It looks likely right now that the Oilers will end up playing either Vancouver or Calgary in the first round. Neither of those teams are particularly good or scary. Vegas is the likely second round opponent and while better than those other two, I don't think they're a team I'm terrified to face either. There's an advantage to being in the worst division in hockey...

If the Oilers WERE able to get through the first two rounds, you could have a battered foe on the other side. It's likely Colorado/St. Louis in round 2, and I think those teams will take a lot out of each other...If the team were to get a couple breaks, and if the goaltending is better than expected...well, maybe we could see a run.



"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
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