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 Oilers » The Outlook - Feb 29th
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 Re: The Outlook - Feb 29th [message #756501 is a reply to message #756496 ]
Mon, 02 March 2020 08:54 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Adam  is currently offline Adam
Messages: 6844
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB

6 Cups

There are two big challenges facing the Oilers as we head down the stretch and in to the playoffs:

1) Goaltending - Yes, Smith's record is great lately, but much of that is run support, not actual great goaltending. The Oilers team save percentage is .903 right now - good for a tie for 15th in the league. There's only a couple of teams in playoff spots with worse numbers than the Oilers. That's a major issue. Goaltending decides playoff series.

2) PP vs 5v5 play - the Oilers are riding the league's best powerplay and that's done wonders. They score on just under 30% of their opportunities. They also have the second best PK in the league so the differential between PPGF and PPGA is massive - 27 goals. All that is really positive, but as we know the referees swallow their whistles in the playoffs. Given the success that Carlyle had a couple years back complaining that the Oilers got too many because the league favours McDavid, we can expect something similar again this year - even though we all know that's terribly untrue.

The Oilers at 5v5 are not a particularly strong team. Most of the team sports minuses and the team's been outshot this year by 123 shots - good for 24th best in the league. You couple that with mediocre goaltending and it's a recipe for disaster.

The team needs the new wingers to click with McDavid fast, and they need the Draisaitl/Nugent-Hopkins/Yamamoto line to keep firing at evens. We'll need improved goaltending too.

We won't be favourites in the playoffs with those numbers, although it's hard to write off any team with the top two forwards in the league...




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