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 Mike
Messages: 1373
Registered: August 2005
Location: Moncton, New Brunswick
1 Cup
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| Adam wrote on Wed, 05 June 2024 14:14 |
| Jay wrote on Wed, 05 June 2024 11:09 |
| Adam wrote on Wed, 05 June 2024 10:20 |
| Kr55 wrote on Wed, 05 June 2024 10:04 |
| benv wrote on Wed, 05 June 2024 09:59 |
Moneypuck, which uses nothing but math to make its predictions has the Oilers as a very small favourite to win: 52.5% to 47.5%.
https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm
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That's an interesting one! Florida has dominated possession 5v5 through the playoffs, and would expect them to get the thumbs up by more analytics models. However, looks like moneypuck does account for special teams quite a bit, which probably gives us a boost.
Do hope the refs aren't scared to make calls in the finals. Need the Knob to figure out some good strategies to counter the relentless Florida attack.
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The refs are a really interesting storyline. Florida's kind of bullied their way through a lot of the first three rounds. They have so many dirtbag players. They have 207 penalty minutes so far, compared to 171 for the Oilers, 146 for the Rangers and just 92 for the Stars. Worth noting, that's slightly skewed by the fact that the Panthers and Bruins took a ton of misconducts against each other.
They've done a tremendous job on the kill at over 88%, but they haven't had to worry about a PP quite like the Oilers. Rangers were 24.0% in the playoffs, Bruins were 21.2%, and Lightning were 20.0%. Edmonton is humming along at 37.3%.
So does that mean they back off a little from that edge, in fear of the Oilers man advantage? Or do the refs just change the standard even more for the Finals and let full-scale mugging take place all over the ice?
Interesting looking at the stats, because the Panthers have almost two full minutes more of powerplay time than the Oilers through three rounds. Refs have called lots of penalties in their games, and relatively few in ours. The Oilers averaging the 13th most PP time/game in the post-season (although scoring on so many PPs might impact that number a bit too).
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I think the oilers are the better team in a hockey game. But that may not be all that relevant. All the talk about the panthers 'physicality' and 'heaviness' just means that the expectation is that they'll be able to injure enough oilers to the point that they will be ineffective and that NHL refs will call 2 or 3 penalties/team regardless of what's actually happening on the ice. Again just get rid of these guys and call penalties with a random number generator.
I'm a bit concerned by any team that gets the pietrangelo treatment - ie no repercussions for blatantly trying to injure the other teams stars. I imagine they (correctly) assume they can do whatever they want.
Kane better be healthy for game 1.
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I expect that Sam Bennett will do many despicable things. Probably Tkachuk too.
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Have Sam Carrick Bobby Clarke Tkachuk game 1. Everyone will attend his charity golf tournament at $500k/person this summer.
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STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Gator21 on Sun, 02 June 2024 21:47 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: mad90 on Sun, 02 June 2024 22:13 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: benv on Mon, 03 June 2024 00:51 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: benv on Mon, 03 June 2024 10:14 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Mon, 03 June 2024 11:47 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Mon, 03 June 2024 11:43 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: JPro on Mon, 03 June 2024 12:56 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Mon, 03 June 2024 13:20 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Leia on Mon, 03 June 2024 15:18 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Mon, 03 June 2024 20:23 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Tue, 04 June 2024 06:00 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Tue, 04 June 2024 14:21 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Tue, 04 June 2024 22:11 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 05 June 2024 09:24 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Wed, 05 June 2024 09:42 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: benv on Wed, 05 June 2024 09:59 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 05 June 2024 10:04 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Wed, 05 June 2024 10:20 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Jay on Wed, 05 June 2024 11:09 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Wed, 05 June 2024 11:14 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Wed, 05 June 2024 11:36 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Wed, 05 June 2024 12:30 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 05 June 2024 12:01 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Wed, 05 June 2024 10:39 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Wed, 05 June 2024 10:51 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Gator21 on Tue, 11 June 2024 21:18 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Tue, 11 June 2024 21:56 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Jay on Wed, 12 June 2024 04:58 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 05 June 2024 10:14 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Jay on Thu, 06 June 2024 11:28 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Thu, 06 June 2024 13:55 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Fri, 07 June 2024 08:51 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: benv on Fri, 07 June 2024 14:15 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Fri, 07 June 2024 18:11 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Jay on Fri, 07 June 2024 18:31 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Jay on Sat, 08 June 2024 12:02 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Sat, 08 June 2024 00:55 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Sat, 22 June 2024 17:27 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Leia on Mon, 24 June 2024 00:10 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 12 June 2024 14:15 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 12 June 2024 14:38 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Gator21 on Sat, 22 June 2024 10:15 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Sat, 22 June 2024 11:47 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Mike on Sat, 22 June 2024 14:42 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Sat, 22 June 2024 15:00 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Tue, 25 June 2024 16:38 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Tue, 25 June 2024 17:52 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Tue, 25 June 2024 18:08 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 26 June 2024 11:40 |
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By: Adam on Tue, 25 June 2024 17:54 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Jay on Wed, 26 June 2024 08:06 |
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Re: STANLEY CUP FINALS - EDM Oilers vs FLA Panthers |
By: Adam on Wed, 26 June 2024 09:11 |
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