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Adam Messages: 7775
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| Kr55 wrote on Wed, 15 November 2023 10:26 |
I think there was some loyalty felt towards Campbell from Dubas and the leafs. They went through a lot of up and down with him. Walking from a player when you have no replacement is tough, but they did it, and had to play around quite a bit to fill the position again. Took an analytics based risk on Murray that forgot to account for how he was made of glass :)
One thing about Campbell is that his high danger sav% was always extremely poor. Even putting up good sav%, he was still very bad at making tough saves, which can be tracked pretty easily now. He continues to do the same here. Being a backup most of his career probably helped him, and other teams may have played a better style for him, keeping the shot quality down. I would bet that the leafs analytics were highlighting this, which made it much easier to talk themselves into just letting him move on. I'd be curious to know who else was offering him big money. Most analytics departments would have had a huge red flag on him back when he was UFA. We made it pretty easy of course, because we were desperate, and the only way Holland knows how to get stuff in summer is throwing money at UFA's.
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I'm not sure there were a lot of other big offers for him. The Oilers had signaled so hard prior to July 1 that he was coming here. That's been a big hallmark of the Holland era here - leaking their big free agent signing a week before it happens. I assume it's an attempt to scare teams off, because they're saying basically that they're going to beat any offer, but it's pretty debatable whether anyone was giving as much to Hyman, Campbell or Brown if the Oilers didn't offer it. They probably should be selling more to the free agents that this is the best place to come to win, and that they should take a little less even to play with McDavid...but instead we just stake out our territory for several days and pay absolute top dollar. Hyman's covering the bet so far, but it's not a bargain contract. The other two look dreadful.
Campbell isn't a positionally sound goalie. I have this belief that the Oilers brass likes guys like that, because they look like they work so hard. It would explain why they loved Campbell and Smith. But the positionally sound goalies are a little more predictable and stable. Those other guys aren't.
At this stage, I really think the only thing the organization can do is to try to convince Campbell that he got hurt in his last appearance, and that it could be a career ending injury. Otherwise, it's going to cost him $5MM in salary if they buy him out, and there's no way anyone is signing him so he'd have to go to the ECHL or Europe and try to work his way back. No guarantee he doesn't think he can do it, but I think I'd at least have the conversation with him now.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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By: NetBOG on Wed, 13 July 2022 10:19 |
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By: Adam on Wed, 13 July 2022 11:35 |
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By: Adam on Wed, 13 July 2022 11:33 |
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By: nullterm on Tue, 14 November 2023 22:34 |
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By: Adam on Wed, 15 November 2023 08:06 |
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By: Kr55 on Tue, 27 December 2022 22:19 |
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By: Kr55 on Tue, 21 March 2023 14:17 |
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By: oilfan94 on Tue, 21 March 2023 14:34 |
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By: Kr55 on Tue, 21 March 2023 14:52 |
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By: Kr55 on Tue, 21 March 2023 14:48 |
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By: Kr55 on Wed, 15 November 2023 09:16 |
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By: nullterm on Wed, 15 November 2023 09:27 |
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By: Kr55 on Wed, 15 November 2023 10:26 |
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By: Adam on Wed, 15 November 2023 11:27 |
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By: Adam on Wed, 15 November 2023 14:53 |
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By: Adam on Wed, 15 November 2023 16:00 |
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By: Kr55 on Thu, 16 November 2023 10:04 |
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By: Adam on Thu, 16 November 2023 10:45 |
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By: Kr55 on Thu, 16 November 2023 11:53 |
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By: Adam on Thu, 16 November 2023 14:43 |
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By: Kr55 on Thu, 16 November 2023 17:30 |
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By: nullterm on Tue, 21 November 2023 22:42 |
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By: nullterm on Wed, 15 November 2023 14:42 |
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By: Kr55 on Sun, 03 December 2023 15:16 |
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By: Adam on Mon, 04 December 2023 15:54 |
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By: Kr55 on Wed, 27 December 2023 22:21 |