| WCF - EDM vs. CEN1 [message #844815] |
Wed, 14 May 2025 23:30  |
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 Gator21
Messages: 183
Registered: February 2016
Location: Kelowna, BC
No Cups
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Assuming both healthy who starts Game 1…Stu or Picks?
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Kr55
Messages: 11693
Registered: May 2002
Location: Edmonton
6 Cups
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| Gator21 wrote on Wed, 14 May 2025 23:30 |
Assuming both healthy who starts Game 1…Stu or Picks?
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Gotta be Stu. If he is weak game 1, Pickard game 2,3 and then back to Mr. Game 4 no matter what :)
"We need to get better immediately. That starts today"
- Lowe, 2013
"Next year I would forecast as another developmental year"
- MacT, 2015
5 x $5,000,000
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Mike
Messages: 1579
Registered: August 2005
Location: Moncton, New Brunswick
1 Cup
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| Kr55 wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 02:34 |
| Gator21 wrote on Wed, 14 May 2025 23:30 |
Assuming both healthy who starts Game 1…Stu or Picks?
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Gotta be Stu. If he is weak game 1, Pickard game 2,3 and then back to Mr. Game 4 no matter what :)
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That's what I'm thinking. Back to back shutouts has to get you the next game, but the leash will be shorter than ever. Bad game 1, if Pickard is healthy he goes game 2.
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Hibernia
Messages: 142
Registered: October 1998
Location: Sin John's
No Cups
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Good news all my East Coast friends... we can finally sleep! No more late starts!  (I'm on a chat with some Oiler buds here on the Rock and the average sleep last night was about 4 hours.)
What happened to all of my messages? lol (I guess it's been awhile) BlueSky: StefBarnes
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NZ Oiler Fan
Messages: 1354
Registered: October 2006
Location: Summerside, PEI
1 Cup
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| Hibernia wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 08:51 |
Good news all my East Coast friends... we can finally sleep! No more late starts! (I'm on a chat with some Oiler buds here on the Rock and the average sleep last night was about 4 hours.)
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Hooray! I get a week or so to catch up on sleep.
HUGE credit to Knobs coaching these playoffs. Made adjustments, and some ballsy calls with regards to changing the line-up. Guy doesn't get the credit he deserves.
Hopefully the week off gives Ekholm time to get healthy.
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tardigrade81
Messages: 3255
Registered: November 2022
Location: Regina, Saskatchewan
3 Cups
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Skinner 100 percent. Not sure what the hell happened but he is rolling right now. I wanted him working at Wal Mart, but you have to go with the hot hand. He has been extremely good since returning
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Mike
Messages: 1579
Registered: August 2005
Location: Moncton, New Brunswick
1 Cup
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| Hibernia wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 08:51 |
Good news all my East Coast friends... we can finally sleep! No more late starts! (I'm on a chat with some Oiler buds here on the Rock and the average sleep last night was about 4 hours.)
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This one wasn't so bad. Was it last year that we had a couple of almost midnight starts against LA? (even worse for you with an extra half hour)
I find those West coast games easier when I am in Paris - I just wake up a little earlier before work as opposed to staying up till 3-4AM.
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Mike
Messages: 1579
Registered: August 2005
Location: Moncton, New Brunswick
1 Cup
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Well - if the series out East go to the teams leading now, we would have home ice should we make it to the finals. Still hoping for Winnipeg to show signs of life and extend their series to 7 games.
What a contrast in feelings this morning heading into the West final versus after game 2 against the Kings.
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Leia
Messages: 461
Registered: May 2003
Location: England
No Cups
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| Hibernia wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 05:51 |
Good news all my East Coast friends... we can finally sleep! No more late starts! (I'm on a chat with some Oiler buds here on the Rock and the average sleep last night was about 4 hours.)
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I'd just got myself used to early morning starts again and now I've got a week off!!!!
Still it's worth it as long as we keep winning.
A bit of rest to get bodies back closer to full fitness, time for Picks and Ecks to get fit enough to play. Things could be worse I suppose.
Take me home, country road
to the place where I belong
to Alberta, to see the Oilers
take me home, country road
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Mike
Messages: 1579
Registered: August 2005
Location: Moncton, New Brunswick
1 Cup
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| Mike wrote on Tue, 13 May 2025 09:53 |
Well with that shutout, Skinner now no longer has the worst save % these playoffs. He passed Hellebuyck!
Skinner .857
Hellebuyck .848
Next up:
Vasilevskiy .872
Hill .876
Ullmark .880
A 21 save shutout would do it (.881). A 45 save shutout would get him back to .900, but I don't want to see 45 shots fired at him.
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Well - he got a 24 save shutout. A 21 save shutout in game 1 will get him to .900 
I don't think he stood on his head either game. He did make a few really good saves both games, but the biggest thing was how controlled it all seemed. No flopping and running around. More of the same please.
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tardigrade81
Messages: 3255
Registered: November 2022
Location: Regina, Saskatchewan
3 Cups
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| Mike wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 16:44 |
| Mike wrote on Tue, 13 May 2025 09:53 |
Well with that shutout, Skinner now no longer has the worst save % these playoffs. He passed Hellebuyck!
Skinner .857
Hellebuyck .848
Next up:
Vasilevskiy .872
Hill .876
Ullmark .880
A 21 save shutout would do it (.881). A 45 save shutout would get him back to .900, but I don't want to see 45 shots fired at him.
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Well - he got a 24 save shutout. A 21 save shutout in game 1 will get him to .900
I don't think he stood on his head either game. He did make a few really good saves both games, but the biggest thing was how controlled it all seemed. No flopping and running around. More of the same please.
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Well said. And with the talent the oilers have. We don't need Skinner to be the best goalie out there, but if he's even average we have a shot to win the entire damn thing.
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benv
Messages: 639
Registered: May 2006
Location: Edmonton
No Cups
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Moneypuck not giving the Oilers any respect. Even though the Oilers are the only team through to the conference finals, they still only have the fourth best Stanley cup odds (behind Florida, Carolina and Dallas).
https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm
I think the the algorithm doesn't weigh recent history highly enough. The Oilers' weak last 30 games of the regular season convinced Moneypuck that they're not very good.
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Kr55
Messages: 11693
Registered: May 2002
Location: Edmonton
6 Cups
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| benv wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 13:58 |
Moneypuck not giving the Oilers any respect. Even though the Oilers are the only team through to the conference finals, they still only have the fourth best Stanley cup odds (behind Florida, Carolina and Dallas).
https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm
I think the the algorithm doesn't weigh recent history highly enough. The Oilers' weak last 30 games of the regular season convinced Moneypuck that they're not very good.
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Start the year as favorites, end the year as the underdog in every series. It's very Oilers, and maybe just the way it needed to be to have a real chance to win :)
"We need to get better immediately. That starts today"
- Lowe, 2013
"Next year I would forecast as another developmental year"
- MacT, 2015
5 x $5,000,000
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nullterm
Messages: 1124
Registered: July 2007
Location: Port Moody, BC
1 Cup
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Skinner probably starts, but he also has a history of losing the first game or two back from an extended break. Here’s hoping he knows how to hold onto his juice.
Also we don’t know what state Pickard is coming back in when he’s back.
Illegitimi non carborundum.
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Adam
Messages: 7398
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| Kr55 wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 14:11 |
| benv wrote on Thu, 15 May 2025 13:58 |
Moneypuck not giving the Oilers any respect. Even though the Oilers are the only team through to the conference finals, they still only have the fourth best Stanley cup odds (behind Florida, Carolina and Dallas).
https://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm
I think the the algorithm doesn't weigh recent history highly enough. The Oilers' weak last 30 games of the regular season convinced Moneypuck that they're not very good.
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Start the year as favorites, end the year as the underdog in every series. It's very Oilers, and maybe just the way it needed to be to have a real chance to win :)
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I don't hate it...it's all part of the Us vs. the World vibe. Let's prove those doubters wrong!!!
Poor Winnipeg, Toronto and Washington...counted out already!
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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Skookum Jim
Messages: 4996
Registered: March 2006
Location: Burnaby, BC
4 Cups
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This is quite the stat..
Vegas top goal scorers all season..
Dorofeyev 35
Hertl 32
Eichel 28
Barbashev 23
Howden 23
Vegas top goal scorers v.s. Oilers..
Dorofeyev 0
Hertl 0
Eichel 0
Barbashev 0
Howden 0
McDAVID! Oh YEAH Baby!! (Thank you Lord!)
Tic-Tac-Tao!
Keep on Rockin' in the Free World
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