 |
 Kr55
Messages: 12884
Registered: May 2002
Location: Edmonton
6 Cups
|
|
| benv wrote on Wed, 13 November 2024 16:24 |
| smyth260 wrote on Wed, 13 November 2024 16:17 |
Travis Yost posted a figure today.
Our PK is 1st in expected goals against, but last in actual goals against. Can’t beat that spread!
|
I assume expected goals are computed on scoring chances alone (ignoring quality of goaltending?).
Does this mean our bad penalty kill is all on goaltending? I thinkgoaltending has been a factor, but from my eye test, I think the Oilers have been sloppy on the PK as well.
|
I'm not sure if any models is ordinary folks have access to can tell the different between a 1-timer off to the side of the net that comes after a cross crease pass that we allow to go right though us, and a shot from the side of the net from the same place. Obviously one of these has a far better chance to go in.
Over time though, your excepted GA/60 and actual GA/60 should start to converge a little if you are getting league average goaltending.
Right now PK xGA/60 is 5.49. Next closest team is LA with 5.61. Worst team is Anaheim with 11.31
PK GA/60 is 15.41. next closest team is 14.66, the Islanders with xGA/60 7.35. Best is Philly with 3.23 and xGA/60 8.39.
So, some other teams have a spread. Lots of Oilers fans praising Sorkin, but the Islanders have a 7 GA/60 difference in real vs expected, vs our 10. Sorkin's PK results are a bit better than Skinner.
Pickard has been worse than Skinner in terms of GA/60. He has 7 GA in 16:55 PK time. Skinner has 9 against in 45:22.
Bad luck, bad PKing, bad goaltending. I think we are getting the triple whammy. But maybe can say the actual PKing is 3rd place on what's killing us.
"We need to get better immediately. That starts today"
- Lowe, 2013
"Next year I would forecast as another developmental year"
- MacT, 2015
5 x $5,000,000
|
|
|
|
Review:
Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: OilFans on Tue, 12 November 2024 21:30 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
|
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: Kr55 on Tue, 12 November 2024 21:48 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
|
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
|
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: Adam on Wed, 13 November 2024 10:03 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
|
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: PlusOne on Wed, 13 November 2024 21:58 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: Adam on Wed, 13 November 2024 09:39 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: oilfan94 on Wed, 13 November 2024 10:40 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
|
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: smyth260 on Wed, 13 November 2024 12:24 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: benv on Wed, 13 November 2024 13:40 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: Adam on Wed, 13 November 2024 14:37 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: benv on Wed, 13 November 2024 15:16 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: smyth260 on Wed, 13 November 2024 16:17 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: benv on Wed, 13 November 2024 16:24 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 13 November 2024 17:01 |
|
Re: Review: Islanders @ Edmonton (Game #16) |
By: Kr55 on Wed, 13 November 2024 22:23 |
