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Tampa Bay @ Edmonton (Game #47) [message #816913] |
Thu, 19 January 2023 02:00  |
 OilFans
Messages: 1558
Registered: February 2006
Location: Edmonton
1 Cup
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 5 FinalScore Prediction
Login To Make Your Prediction2022-23 Regular Season| Tuesday, November 8, 2022 | Edmonton 3 @ Tampa Bay 2 | Win | | Thursday, January 19, 2023 | Tampa Bay 3 @ Edmonton 5 | Win |
Home Record: 1-0-0 Road Record: 1-0-0 Overall Record: 2-0-0
Home / Road Goals For: 5/3 Total: 8
Home / Road Goals Against: 3/2 Total: 52021-22 Regular Season| Wednesday, February 23, 2022 | Edmonton 3 @ Tampa Bay 5 | Loss | | Saturday, March 12, 2022 | Tampa Bay 1 @ Edmonton 4 | Win |
Home Record: 1-0-0 Road Record: 0-1-0 Overall Record: 1-1-0
Home / Road Goals For: 4/3 Total: 7
Home / Road Goals Against: 1/5 Total: 6 |
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 7803
Registered: December 2003
Location: AB Highway 100
6 Cups
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We often complain about Calgary getting a team on a the second half of a back to back, today is two in a row of the Oilers getting a team on the back end of a west coast back to back. They need to win when a team is on a scheduled loss.
This is the last playoff team the Oilers play until February 17.
Please do not feed the bears. Feeding the bears creates a dependent population unable to survive on their own. Bears.
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Oscargasm
Messages: 5911
Registered: May 2009
Location: YEG
5 Cups
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Don’t let this one fool you. She’s as Musty as ever in these parts. But let’s check the MRC (Must Requirement Checklist) for consistency sake.
Oilers game today? Check
See! Full marks on the MRC.
LFG ladies and germs!
Survivor CHAMP S52 | S66
OG's #MUSTWIN Scale
Category 1 - Lightly Musty
Category 2 - Moderately Musty
Category 3 - Considerably Musty
Category 4 - Severely Musty
Category 5 - Incredibly Musty
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Red Rage
Messages: 66
Registered: June 2002
Location: ETOWN
No Cups
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What is the actual winning percentage for teams on the back half of back to backs?
Anecdotally, I feel as though the Oil do not too badly, but is there any evidence to support the belief that teams overall perform poorly in these situations?
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 7803
Registered: December 2003
Location: AB Highway 100
6 Cups
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| Red Rage wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 09:25 |
What is the actual winning percentage for teams on the back half of back to backs?
Anecdotally, I feel as though the Oil do not too badly, but is there any evidence to support the belief that teams overall perform poorly in these situations?
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https://morehockeystats.com/teams/gamedays
The Oilers have been slightly better on back to back games (1.3 points / game) than their overall record (1.1 points / game). But that's atypical. Tampa is .8 ppg on back to back compared to their overall of 1.3.
Please do not feed the bears. Feeding the bears creates a dependent population unable to survive on their own. Bears.
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Adam
Messages: 7175
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| Red Rage wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 09:25 |
What is the actual winning percentage for teams on the back half of back to backs?
Anecdotally, I feel as though the Oil do not too badly, but is there any evidence to support the belief that teams overall perform poorly in these situations?
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https://www.reddit.com/r/hockey/comments/2xia7h/quick_statis tics_of_2nd_half_of_back_to_back_games/
https://morehockeystats.com/teams/gamedays
Here's some references. There is definitely statistical evidence that teams playing on the back end of back-to-backs have a reduced chance of winning.
The oddsmakers even build that in to their models, although according to this article, they may over-favour rested teams: https://thehockeynews.com/news/nhl-betting-trend-well-rested -favorites-vs-back-to-back-underdogs
It's worth noting that in the team stats, Tampa has one of the biggest drop-offs, so here's hoping we're able to take advantage. The team really needs all the points it can get right now, so we need to exploit every advantage we can.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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Adrean
Messages: 46
Registered: January 2006
Location: Calgary (for work, not th...
No Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 08:58 |
We often complain about Calgary getting a team on a the second half of a back to back, today is two in a row of the Oilers getting a team on the back end of a west coast back to back. They need to win when a team is on a scheduled loss.
This is the last playoff team the Oilers play until February 17.
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I won't take credit for this, I heard it on the radio before Tuesday's game.
It goes beyond that. All three teams that the Oilers play this week are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Just a weird schedule anomaly that works in the Oilers favour for once.
benv wrote on Thu, 02 November 2017 Adrean wins his first Survivor title!
CrusaderPi wrote on Wed, 13 February 2019 Mighty Adrean is a two time champion
CrusaderPi wrote on Wed, 19 February 2020 For the third time Adam's Dad stands victorious
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tardigrade81
Messages: 2262
Registered: November 2022
Location: Regina, Saskatchewan
2 Cups
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Final score
Oilers 5
Lightning 2.
Book it
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RDOilerfan
Messages: 3908
Registered: January 2016
3 Cups
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Interesting as it sounds like Campbell is getting the start again. He's played extremely well so I have no issue. Maybe they just want to ease Skinner back in. I remember the early days of when my first was born. Not a lot of sleep those first few weeks/months.
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 7803
Registered: December 2003
Location: AB Highway 100
6 Cups
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| RDOilerfan wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 10:52 |
Interesting as it sounds like Campbell is getting the start again. He's played extremely well so I have no issue. Maybe they just want to ease Skinner back in. I remember the early days of when my first was born. Not a lot of sleep those first few weeks/months.
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I don't mind this (except I just traded for Skinner). Campbell has been playing well and winning, he's had a few days off, and Skinner does have a newborn. I always worry about the Oilers falling in love with the hot hand and burning them out, but one extra game doesn't matter. IF they start Campbell Saturday I'll have some concerns.
Please do not feed the bears. Feeding the bears creates a dependent population unable to survive on their own. Bears.
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RDOilerfan
Messages: 3908
Registered: January 2016
3 Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 14:24 |
| RDOilerfan wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 10:52 |
Interesting as it sounds like Campbell is getting the start again. He's played extremely well so I have no issue. Maybe they just want to ease Skinner back in. I remember the early days of when my first was born. Not a lot of sleep those first few weeks/months.
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I don't mind this (except I just traded for Skinner). Campbell has been playing well and winning, he's had a few days off, and Skinner does have a newborn. I always worry about the Oilers falling in love with the hot hand and burning them out, but one extra game doesn't matter. IF they start Campbell Saturday I'll have some concerns.
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I do wonder if part of it is Skinner's last game was Jan 9th then he went home for the birth of his son. So we are going on 10 days since his last start with not a ton of practice time. So maybe the thinking is you give him a technically easier opponent in the Canucks for his first start back vs one of the best teams in the NHL for a long time.
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Oscargasm
Messages: 5911
Registered: May 2009
Location: YEG
5 Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 14:24 |
| RDOilerfan wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 10:52 |
Interesting as it sounds like Campbell is getting the start again. He's played extremely well so I have no issue. Maybe they just want to ease Skinner back in. I remember the early days of when my first was born. Not a lot of sleep those first few weeks/months.
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I don't mind this (except I just traded for Skinner). Campbell has been playing well and winning, he's had a few days off, and Skinner does have a newborn. I always worry about the Oilers falling in love with the hot hand and burning them out, but one extra game doesn't matter. IF they start Campbell Saturday I'll have some concerns.
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Remember how Talbot’s game fell off here not long after the birth of their twins?
Survivor CHAMP S52 | S66
OG's #MUSTWIN Scale
Category 1 - Lightly Musty
Category 2 - Moderately Musty
Category 3 - Considerably Musty
Category 4 - Severely Musty
Category 5 - Incredibly Musty
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Kr55
Messages: 10770
Registered: May 2002
Location: Edmonton
6 Cups
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| Oscargasm wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 09:12 |
Don’t let this one fool you. She’s as Musty as ever in these parts. But let’s check the MRC (Must Requirement Checklist) for consistency sake.
Oilers game today? Check
See! Full marks on the MRC.
LFG ladies and germs!
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Rolling a win tonight into some of the easy games coming up would be YUGE!!
"We need to get better immediately. That starts today"
- Lowe, 2013
"Next year I would forecast as another developmental year"
- MacT, 2015
5 x $5,000,000
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tardigrade81
Messages: 2262
Registered: November 2022
Location: Regina, Saskatchewan
2 Cups
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Kane scores. Book it
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NCREDiBLE
Messages: 258
Registered: February 2007
Location: Cold Lake, AB
No Cups
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| tardigrade81 wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 17:42 |
Kane scores. Book it
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LET'S GO! Can't wait to see him light it up!
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tardigrade81
Messages: 2262
Registered: November 2022
Location: Regina, Saskatchewan
2 Cups
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| NCREDiBLE wrote on Fri, 20 January 2023 00:47 |
| tardigrade81 wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 17:42 |
Kane scores. Book it
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LET'S GO! Can't wait to see him light it up!
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Same!!!
I want this win!
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oilfan94
Messages: 408
Registered: June 2006
Location: USA
No Cups
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| Oscargasm wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 19:02 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 14:24 |
| RDOilerfan wrote on Thu, 19 January 2023 10:52 |
Interesting as it sounds like Campbell is getting the start again. He's played extremely well so I have no issue. Maybe they just want to ease Skinner back in. I remember the early days of when my first was born. Not a lot of sleep those first few weeks/months.
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I don't mind this (except I just traded for Skinner). Campbell has been playing well and winning, he's had a few days off, and Skinner does have a newborn. I always worry about the Oilers falling in love with the hot hand and burning them out, but one extra game doesn't matter. IF they start Campbell Saturday I'll have some concerns.
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Remember how Talbot’s game fell off here not long after the birth of their twins?
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Cam Talbot was 4th in Venzina voting when his twins were born. He had a shutout at the Heritage Classic when they were 4 days old.
https://www.nhl.com/news/cam-talbots-newborn-twins-cheer-him -on-in-heritage-classic/c-282984630
Devin Dubnyk is the one that had a kid right before the season started, and his play fell off that year.
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