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Detroit @ Edmonton (Game #60) [message #801708] |
Tue, 15 March 2022 02:00  |
 OilFans
Messages: 1719
Registered: February 2006
Location: Edmonton
1 Cup
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 5
 7 FinalScore Prediction
Login To Make Your Prediction2021-22 Regular Season| Tuesday, November 9, 2021 | Edmonton 2 @ Detroit 4 | Loss | | Tuesday, March 15, 2022 | Detroit 5 @ Edmonton 7 | Win |
Home Record: 1-0-0 Road Record: 0-1-0 Overall Record: 1-1-0
Home / Road Goals For: 7/2 Total: 9
Home / Road Goals Against: 5/4 Total: 92020-21 Regular SeasonHome Record: 0-0-0 Road Record: 0-0-0 Overall Record: 0-0-0
Home / Road Goals For: 0/0 Total: 0
Home / Road Goals Against: 0/0 Total: 0 |
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Oscargasm
Messages: 5911
Registered: May 2009
Location: YEG
5 Cups
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Welcome to Must week, it’s like shark week but survival is Mustier.
Survivor CHAMP S52 | S66
OG's #MUSTWIN Scale
Category 1 - Lightly Musty
Category 2 - Moderately Musty
Category 3 - Considerably Musty
Category 4 - Severely Musty
Category 5 - Incredibly Musty
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NZ Oiler Fan
Messages: 1273
Registered: October 2006
Location: Kensington, PEI
1 Cup
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Which Oilers team to we get to see tonight I wonder?
The one that competes and even outplays the league leaders, or the one that plays down to the level of their opponent and loses to a bottom feeder?
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RDOilerfan
Messages: 3908
Registered: January 2016
3 Cups
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| NZ Oiler Fan wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 11:10 |
Which Oilers team to we get to see tonight I wonder?
The one that competes and even outplays the league leaders, or the one that plays down to the level of their opponent and loses to a bottom feeder?
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It's up to the best players on the team to set the ton. Yes depth matters but if a teams best players don't play well and set the ton early, it typically doesn't matter what your bottom 2 lines do. The big boys need to come out and set the standard they are going hard. If they do that, I think they will be fine.
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Adam
Messages: 7304
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| Oscargasm wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 10:55 |
Welcome to Must week, it’s like shark week but survival is Mustier.
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This would be a very bad week to swoon. Not only would it be giving away points that the team desperately needs, but it would convince the GM to lie down and give up.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 7960
Registered: December 2003
Location: Downtown Edmonton
6 Cups
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| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 11:40 |
| Oscargasm wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 10:55 |
Welcome to Must week, it’s like shark week but survival is Mustier.
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This would be a very bad week to swoon. Not only would it be giving away points that the team desperately needs, but it would convince the GM to lie down and give up.
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But if a team is going to take a week off, doing it against non-conference non-playoff teams is the week to do it.
Please do not feed the bears. Feeding the bears creates a dependent population unable to survive on their own. Bears.
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Oscargasm
Messages: 5911
Registered: May 2009
Location: YEG
5 Cups
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| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 11:40 |
| Oscargasm wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 10:55 |
Welcome to Must week, it’s like shark week but survival is Mustier.
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This would be a very bad week to swoon. Not only would it be giving away points that the team desperately needs, but it would convince the GM to lie down and give up.
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We’re on the same page, my friend! Welcome to team Must
Survivor CHAMP S52 | S66
OG's #MUSTWIN Scale
Category 1 - Lightly Musty
Category 2 - Moderately Musty
Category 3 - Considerably Musty
Category 4 - Severely Musty
Category 5 - Incredibly Musty
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NetBOG
Messages: 3016
Registered: January 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
3 Cups
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I'm just assuming Smith plays tonight. Haven't seen him since the Habs, Kostko played well in the last three but gotta get the old man some work.
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| NetBOG wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:59 |
I'm just assuming Smith plays tonight. Haven't seen him since the Habs, Kostko played well in the last three but gotta get the old man some work.
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19 is in tonight. As much as I’d like to see another Smith meltdown, 2pts is more important.
In fairness to Hall, I've wanted to throw a waterbottle at Eakins all season.
~nullterm 03/22/2014
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 7960
Registered: December 2003
Location: Downtown Edmonton
6 Cups
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| Slim Jim Phantom Call wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:03 |
| NetBOG wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:59 |
I'm just assuming Smith plays tonight. Haven't seen him since the Habs, Kostko played well in the last three but gotta get the old man some work.
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19 is in tonight. As much as I’d like to see another Smith meltdown, 2pts is more important.
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Oh good. They're riding a goalie who can't play every game again. I can't see how this goes poorly and ends up costing more points than it earns. Maybe it would be a good idea to see who starts the back to back game against Colorado next Monday now?
Please do not feed the bears. Feeding the bears creates a dependent population unable to survive on their own. Bears.
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Skookum Jim
Messages: 4702
Registered: March 2006
Location: Burnaby, BC
4 Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:14 |
..They're riding a goalie who can't play every game again...
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Kosko says that's in your head..
We'll see!
Putting Smith in net is too risky at this point.. he needs game time to get NHL acceptable and these games aren't pre-season.. should have taken a 2 week assignment in Bako.
McDAVID! Oh YEAH Baby!! (Thank you Lord!)
Tic-Tac-Tao!
Keep on Rockin' in the Free World
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NetBOG
Messages: 3016
Registered: January 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
3 Cups
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| Skookum Jim wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:28 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:14 |
..They're riding a goalie who can't play every game again...
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Kosko says that's in your head..
We'll see!
Putting Smith in net is too risky at this point.. he needs game time to get NHL acceptable and these games aren't pre-season.. should have taken a 2 week assignment in Bako.
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He can't play in every game and Smith is going to need to play if there is any hope of him regaining any form. Just playing Kostko into the ground is dumb.
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Adam
Messages: 7304
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| NetBOG wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:53 |
| Skookum Jim wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:28 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:14 |
..They're riding a goalie who can't play every game again...
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Kosko says that's in your head..
We'll see!
Putting Smith in net is too risky at this point.. he needs game time to get NHL acceptable and these games aren't pre-season.. should have taken a 2 week assignment in Bako.
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He can't play in every game and Smith is going to need to play if there is any hope of him regaining any form. Just playing Kostko into the ground is dumb.
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Of course, playing Mike Smith again is pretty dumb too...especially when a better option exists...
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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Oscargasm
Messages: 5911
Registered: May 2009
Location: YEG
5 Cups
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| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:04 |
| NetBOG wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:53 |
| Skookum Jim wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:28 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:14 |
..They're riding a goalie who can't play every game again...
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Kosko says that's in your head..
We'll see!
Putting Smith in net is too risky at this point.. he needs game time to get NHL acceptable and these games aren't pre-season.. should have taken a 2 week assignment in Bako.
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He can't play in every game and Smith is going to need to play if there is any hope of him regaining any form. Just playing Kostko into the ground is dumb.
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Of course, playing Mike Smith again is pretty dumb too...especially when a better option exists...
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Better option... are you referring to Ken Holland strapping the pads back on?
Survivor CHAMP S52 | S66
OG's #MUSTWIN Scale
Category 1 - Lightly Musty
Category 2 - Moderately Musty
Category 3 - Considerably Musty
Category 4 - Severely Musty
Category 5 - Incredibly Musty
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CrusaderPi
Messages: 7960
Registered: December 2003
Location: Downtown Edmonton
6 Cups
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| Skookum Jim wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:28 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:14 |
..They're riding a goalie who can't play every game again...
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Kosko says that's in your head..
We'll see!
Putting Smith in net is too risky at this point.. he needs game time to get NHL acceptable and these games aren't pre-season.. should have taken a 2 week assignment in Bako.
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No no. We did this exercise before. Koskinen played well for a good stretch of games and then fell off a freaking cliff. That's not in my head, that's the start of the Oilers' long and sustained swan dive in the standings.
Save % by game while Smith was out at the start of the season.
.952
.964
.923
.879
.967
.931
.939
.800
.897
.897
.846
.889
.947
.941
.875
.846
.903
.800
All in our head indeed.
Please do not feed the bears. Feeding the bears creates a dependent population unable to survive on their own. Bears.
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Kr55
Messages: 11250
Registered: May 2002
Location: Edmonton
6 Cups
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| CrusaderPi wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:13 |
| Skookum Jim wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:28 |
| CrusaderPi wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 13:14 |
..They're riding a goalie who can't play every game again...
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Kosko says that's in your head..
We'll see!
Putting Smith in net is too risky at this point.. he needs game time to get NHL acceptable and these games aren't pre-season.. should have taken a 2 week assignment in Bako.
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No no. We did this exercise before. Koskinen played well for a good stretch of games and then fell off a freaking cliff. That's not in my head, that's the start of the Oilers' long and sustained swan dive in the standings.
Save % by game while Smith was out at the start of the season.
.952
.964
.923
.879
.967
.931
.939
.800
.897
.897
.846
.889
.947
.941
.875
.846
.903
.800
All in our head indeed.
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Can we confirm though that during these stretches Dave Tippett was not walking up and down the halls cursing Kostko's name and constantly asking Kostko why he can't be more like Mike Smith? Maybe things are different now
[Updated on: Tue, 15 March 2022 15:39]
"We need to get better immediately. That starts today"
- Lowe, 2013
"Next year I would forecast as another developmental year"
- MacT, 2015
5 x $5,000,000
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Skookum Jim
Messages: 4702
Registered: March 2006
Location: Burnaby, BC
4 Cups
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This a classic trap game we've all seen too many times.. but I think there is a more desperate attitude with the Oilers these last few games.. plus some bodies back.. I'll go out on limb, they don't sag, and predict a V !! :)
McDAVID! Oh YEAH Baby!! (Thank you Lord!)
Tic-Tac-Tao!
Keep on Rockin' in the Free World
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benv
Messages: 620
Registered: May 2006
Location: Edmonton
No Cups
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This sounds a lot worse than it is. Pitlick was 2010, McLeod was 2018. That leaves seven years (2011-2017) where the Oilers had a total of four 2nd round picks (they didn't have a 2nd rounder in 2014, 2015, or 2017). The four players are David Musil (2011), Mitch Moroz (2012), Marco Roy (2013), and Tyler Benson (2016). So they've had three 2nd round busts (not going to call Benson a bust yet) in seven years--hardly unusual.
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Dragon_Matt
Messages: 789
Registered: January 2009
Location: edmonton
No Cups
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so... are we on board with trading all our draft picks after #1? clearly... we suck at picking.
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NetBOG
Messages: 3016
Registered: January 2006
Location: Parts Unknown
3 Cups
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Oilers haven't drafted with 2nd picks much in the last 10 years. First three were bad but others are still TBD.
https://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/draft/teams/dr00005632.html
I think the bigger question is how have the Oilers not gotten any truly great players outside the first round since Tikkanen and Kurri in the 80s?
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Adam
Messages: 7304
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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Well, Skinner's now the 7th most games played of any Oilers drafted goalie (Fuhr, Moog, Dubnyk, Markkanen, Deslauriers and Morrisson are the ones ahead of him), so you shouldn't be too surprised.
The team's conversion rate outside of the 1st round isn't amazing and then on top of that even when they do get one right, the team often doesn't realize it. We have virtually no players from the 4th round or later who've made the team in the last 12 years - just Dillon Simpson (3 games), William Lagesson and Ethan Bear - but in that time, we've had three more (Tobias Rieder, Erik Gustafsson, and John Marino) who've turned out to be real NHL players without the Oilers really figuring it out. The 6th round pick we got for Marino is the best deal we managed with any of them.
I'm curious why we missed out on some of the better draft picks we've made.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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Skookum Jim
Messages: 4702
Registered: March 2006
Location: Burnaby, BC
4 Cups
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| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:38 |
.. The 6th round pick we got for Marino is the best deal we managed with any of them..
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Well to be fair, they knew Marino was good, he just wouldn't sign.
McDAVID! Oh YEAH Baby!! (Thank you Lord!)
Tic-Tac-Tao!
Keep on Rockin' in the Free World
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Adam
Messages: 7304
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| Skookum Jim wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:50 |
| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 14:38 |
.. The 6th round pick we got for Marino is the best deal we managed with any of them..
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Well to be fair, they knew Marino was good, he just wouldn't sign.
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I'm not positive that they did know. I think Marino believed he was good, but he and the Oilers disagreed about where he fit in the organizational depth chart. He was right.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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benv
Messages: 620
Registered: May 2006
Location: Edmonton
No Cups
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| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:38 |
Well, Skinner's now the 7th most games played of any Oilers drafted goalie (Fuhr, Moog, Dubnyk, Markkanen, Deslauriers and Morrisson are the ones ahead of him), so you shouldn't be too surprised.
The team's conversion rate outside of the 1st round isn't amazing and then on top of that even when they do get one right, the team often doesn't realize it. We have virtually no players from the 4th round or later who've made the team in the last 12 years - just Dillon Simpson (3 games), William Lagesson and Ethan Bear - but in that time, we've had three more (Tobias Rieder, Erik Gustafsson, and John Marino) who've turned out to be real NHL players without the Oilers really figuring it out. The 6th round pick we got for Marino is the best deal we managed with any of them.
I'm curious why we missed out on some of the better draft picks we've made.
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You forgot Caleb Jones
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benv
Messages: 620
Registered: May 2006
Location: Edmonton
No Cups
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| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:38 |
We have virtually no players from the 4th round or later who've made the team in the last 12 years
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You have to be careful about criticism in a vacuum--in other words, do other teams really do much better?
I picked a team at random (got St. Louis) and looked at their 4th and later round picks and later during the same period. Here's the ones with NHL games:
Jani Hakanpaa (4th round 2010): 117 games
Petteri Lindbohm (6th round 2012): 42 games
Ville Husso (4th round 2014): 41 games
Austin Poganski (4th round 2014): 22 games
Sammy Blais (6th round 2014): 133 games
Glenn Gawdin (4th round 2015): 9 games
Niko Mikkola (5th round 2015): 79 games
Alexei Toropchenko (4th round 2017): 9 games
Joel Hofer (4th round 2018): 2 games
Lots of fringe players, but hardly anyone even on the level of Bear or Jones (Blais is the only one I've heard of). I think the perception of Oiler late round draft futility is a bit overblown. I have a feeling they're not that much worse than most teams and converting them to NHLers.
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Adam
Messages: 7304
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| benv wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 16:22 |
| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:38 |
We have virtually no players from the 4th round or later who've made the team in the last 12 years
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You have to be careful about criticism in a vacuum--in other words, do other teams really do much better?
I picked a team at random (got St. Louis) and looked at their 4th and later round picks and later during the same period. Here's the ones with NHL games:
Jani Hakanpaa (4th round 2010): 117 games
Petteri Lindbohm (6th round 2012): 42 games
Ville Husso (4th round 2014): 41 games
Austin Poganski (4th round 2014): 22 games
Sammy Blais (6th round 2014): 133 games
Glenn Gawdin (4th round 2015): 9 games
Niko Mikkola (5th round 2015): 79 games
Alexei Toropchenko (4th round 2017): 9 games
Joel Hofer (4th round 2018): 2 games
Lots of fringe players, but hardly anyone even on the level of Bear or Jones (Blais is the only one I've heard of). I think the perception of Oiler late round draft futility is a bit overblown. I have a feeling they're not that much worse than most teams and converting them to NHLers.
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The success rate for players drafted after the first couple of rounds drops precipitously.
However, I think it's pretty notable that the Oilers have misjudged three different players who they picked, trading one for an AHL grinder, another for a 6th round pick and not even offering a contract to the third.
I mean, you would think you'd have some sense as to what you had with those guys, and each would have been useful players to have in the last decade. Technically we got Rieder back, but not for his best years.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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Skookum Jim
Messages: 4702
Registered: March 2006
Location: Burnaby, BC
4 Cups
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| benv wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:22 |
You have to be careful about criticism in a vacuum--in other words, do other teams really do much better?
I picked a team at random (got St. Louis) and looked at their 4th and later round picks and later during the same period. Here's the ones with NHL games:
Jani Hakanpaa (4th round 2010): 117 games
Petteri Lindbohm (6th round 2012): 42 games
Ville Husso (4th round 2014): 41 games
Austin Poganski (4th round 2014): 22 games
Sammy Blais (6th round 2014): 133 games
Glenn Gawdin (4th round 2015): 9 games
Niko Mikkola (5th round 2015): 79 games
Alexei Toropchenko (4th round 2017): 9 games
Joel Hofer (4th round 2018): 2 games
Lots of fringe players, but hardly anyone even on the level of Bear or Jones (Blais is the only one I've heard of). I think the perception of Oiler late round draft futility is a bit overblown. I have a feeling they're not that much worse than most teams and converting them to NHLers.
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Oilers have done better recently.. Petrov and Tullio are both near top in OHL scoring (8th and 11th respectively). Petrov was 6th round 180 overall, Tullio was 5th round 126th overall.
Still not in the NHL, but good signs.. I expect Petrov to make it for sure, kid is 6'-2" with a snipe laser shot..
Then we have Carter Savoie.. 4th round 100th overall.. one of the top NCAA scorers for 2 seasons.
he might be another depending on skating, I haven't seen him play much, can't determine his skating, but if he's at least NHL average he's a player...
[Updated on: Tue, 15 March 2022 16:58]
McDAVID! Oh YEAH Baby!! (Thank you Lord!)
Tic-Tac-Tao!
Keep on Rockin' in the Free World
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Adam
Messages: 7304
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB
6 Cups
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| Skookum Jim wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 16:54 |
| benv wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:22 |
You have to be careful about criticism in a vacuum--in other words, do other teams really do much better?
I picked a team at random (got St. Louis) and looked at their 4th and later round picks and later during the same period. Here's the ones with NHL games:
Jani Hakanpaa (4th round 2010): 117 games
Petteri Lindbohm (6th round 2012): 42 games
Ville Husso (4th round 2014): 41 games
Austin Poganski (4th round 2014): 22 games
Sammy Blais (6th round 2014): 133 games
Glenn Gawdin (4th round 2015): 9 games
Niko Mikkola (5th round 2015): 79 games
Alexei Toropchenko (4th round 2017): 9 games
Joel Hofer (4th round 2018): 2 games
Lots of fringe players, but hardly anyone even on the level of Bear or Jones (Blais is the only one I've heard of). I think the perception of Oiler late round draft futility is a bit overblown. I have a feeling they're not that much worse than most teams and converting them to NHLers.
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Oilers have done better recently.. Petrov and Tullio are both near top in OHL scoring (8th and 11th respectively). Petrov was 6th round 180 overall, Tullio was 5th round 126th overall.
Still not in the NHL, but good signs.. I expect Petrov to make it for sure, kid is 6'-2" with a snipe laser shot..
Then we have Carter Savoie.. 4th round 100th overall.. one of the top NCAA scorers for 2 seasons.
he might be another depending on skating, I haven't seen him play much, can't determine his skating, but if he's at least NHL average he's a player...
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I tend not to believe the hype until they've started showing something at the AHL level at least. Too many of these over the years where 1-2 years out from draft day the Oilers media is talking them up, only to have them disappear again.
"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks
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Skookum Jim
Messages: 4702
Registered: March 2006
Location: Burnaby, BC
4 Cups
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| Adam wrote on Tue, 15 March 2022 15:59 |
I tend not to believe the hype until they've started showing something at the AHL level at least. Too many of these over the years where 1-2 years out from draft day the Oilers media is talking them up, only to have them disappear again.
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The point is having 3 of the top scorers in the OHL and the NCAA from a 4th, 5th, and 6th round pick is still pretty freaking good even at this point in development. Some of the guys that Petrov and Tullio are rubbing shoulders with in the OHL scoring leader board right now were 1st rounders, or 20 year olds.
McDAVID! Oh YEAH Baby!! (Thank you Lord!)
Tic-Tac-Tao!
Keep on Rockin' in the Free World
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mightyreasoner
Messages: 525
Registered: October 2005
Location: Edmonton
No Cups
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Here's to hoping the Red Wings leave Sam Gagner in Edmonton for the playoff-run.
We will send Josh Archibald back in return who should be great in the room with Tyler Bertuzzi, if no one else.
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