 benv
Messages: 672
Registered: May 2006
Location: Edmonton
No Cups
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| Kr55 wrote on Thu, 06 May 2021 22:27 |
Just FYI, since records are fun
Steven Psihogios @StevenPsihogios
Mikko Koskinen is the 1st goalie to earn 0 saves on 4+ shot attempts since Washington Capitals goalie Don Beaupre did so on November 24, 1989.
He is the 3rd goalie to earn 0 saves on 4+ shot attempts since the NHL began tracking saves during the 1955-56 season. #LetsGoOilers
Here are the stat lines from the other two netminders, Beaupre and Dan Bouchard. 0-for-4 is a universally bad line regardless of the sport you play.
McDavid with 12 points in his last 12 periods too. Had a 15 points in 15 periods run right before on pointless game vs the Lames on April 29th.
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So I was browsing the stats page and noticed Koskinen's crappy performance last night reduced his save% to 0.900. This got me thinking that if a typical goalie stops 1 out of 10 shots, then the probability of letting in four consecutive goals on any four consecutive shots is 1/10000. So in any game the probability that a goalie WON'T let in the first 4 shots is 0.9999. Thus in a typical year of 1230 games the probability of this never happening is 0.9999^2460 = 78%. So the probability of a goalie letting in the first four goals happening during a season would be about 22%. So it should happen about once every five years.
My point is, it seems odd that this happens so rarely. Even if I increase the sv% to 0.910, it would be about 15%.
I wonder if the research above was for a single goalie. I'm guessing most goalies who let in the first three goals are pulled, and thus don't have the opportunity to let in the fourth. I wonder if we looked for a TEAM getting scored on in the first four shots we would find more.
[Updated on: Fri, 07 May 2021 18:08]
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Review:
Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: OilFans on Thu, 06 May 2021 21:30 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Kr55 on Fri, 07 May 2021 09:23 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Kr55 on Thu, 06 May 2021 22:27 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: benv on Fri, 07 May 2021 18:06 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Kr55 on Fri, 07 May 2021 18:18 |
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By: PlusOne on Fri, 07 May 2021 07:58 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Kr55 on Fri, 07 May 2021 09:17 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Adam on Fri, 07 May 2021 12:23 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Adam on Fri, 07 May 2021 15:31 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Adam on Fri, 07 May 2021 16:36 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: jds308 on Fri, 07 May 2021 11:05 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Kr55 on Fri, 07 May 2021 11:18 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Adam on Fri, 07 May 2021 12:14 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Adam on Fri, 07 May 2021 16:09 |
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Re: Review: Vancouver @ Edmonton (Game #55) |
By: Kr55 on Fri, 07 May 2021 12:40 |
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