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 Oilers » Review: Edmonton @ San Jose (Game #12)
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 Re: Review: Edmonton @ San Jose (Game #12) [message #826921 is a reply to message #826916 ]
Fri, 10 November 2023 10:00 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Adam  is currently offline Adam
Messages: 7124
Registered: August 2005
Location: Edmonton, AB

6 Cups

CrusaderPi wrote on Fri, 10 November 2023 09:24

Adam wrote on Fri, 10 November 2023 08:44



You heard a little of that from the Oilers last night. Nugent-Hopkins basically said as much and that he has confidence in the team.

The shots were 41-18 again last night, so there's definitely a luck element to all of this. The team is dramatically outplaying their opponents in many of these games and still losing. It is coming down to a couple mistakes each night because right now in game after game we're seeing great netminding against us, and brutal netminding behind us. And then the game can turn on a single blooper, especially because the confidence level is so low.

If they fire Woodcroft - and I think they will today - I could see the next coach getting a really favourable bounceback. Not because they have done anything different, but because at some point if you get 40-45 shots a game, they're going to start going in at some point.

I'm not of the belief this team is out of the running this year, because while there's been a couple of horrendous games this year, they're actually outplaying many teams for 75% of the game. If we start scoring, we can like last year outscore our problems a lot of games. If we were also to get a goalie who can stop a puck? Watch out. (Of course, given that was a known issue it would have been a lot better to get a goalie in the summer...)



It's not luck. They're a bad hockey team. They're not getting goalied against a string of backups and the Sharks, they're just bad. 41 shots sounds nice, but not when they look like they've regressed to the Eakins era of thinking. They're leaving guys open in the slot while winning the corsi battle.

They're not out of the running and it can be turned around, but it's not a simple fix. There isn't a goalie that can simply stop the pucks getting through this team.


So I don't fully agree. I think there is an element of luck, because there are periods of absolute offensive zone dominance, and the team is getting some good looks. There have been a high percentage of high danger saves against us. Yes, it's a lot of back-up goalies having the night of their life, but I think the games that are more concerning are ones like the season opener, where we had nothing going right anywhere.

I think the team is fragile right now, and that one bad bounce discourages them. I also think there's no trust in the goaltenders, so they're taking bad risks in order to try to suppress any shot attempts - that's leading to some giving up of the slot. I mean, how many decent goaltending games have we got this year? The two wins...have there been any others? If you know that 3 of every 20 shots is in the back of the net, that's a really tough thing to handle.

Maybe some of that is self-defeating, as they are giving up good opportunities when there's any chances at all, but I don't know. A lot of the goals against are just shots off the rush. And NHL goalies need to stop some of the hard shots too. Skinner and Campbell save good chances at a rate waaaaay lower than their peers.

I do think that it would be interesting to see how different this team looks with a goalie that there's any confidence in.

I am pretty confident though that the goal scoring side is going to see a big jump soon.



"Thinking that a bad team's best players are the reason the team is bad is the "Tambellini re-signing Lennart Petrell" of sports opinions." @Woodguy55
#FireBobbyNicks

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